Long-term thinking

Our work in long-term thinking and anticipatory foresight takes a unique approach that anticipates possible futures to understand the future environment and optimise complex decision making. It relies on discourse, dialogue, and evidence-based thinking combined with horizon scanning and systems thinking.

Social cohesion straining at the seams

New Zealand’s status as a cohesive high-trust nation is being strained by political, economic and environmental pressures, exacerbated by technological disruptors.


New Zealand traditional flax weaving handcraft
Addressing the challenges to social cohesion
In this discussion paper, we explore factors that are potentially threatening to our society’s resilience.

Flooding inundates the highway in central North Island, New Zealand.
Risk listening: rethinking how we understand and manage risk
Aotearoa New Zealand needs to set up a national risk assessment authority to better prepare the country for high-impact risks and disasters.

National risk assessment authority needed to better prepare for risk
Given New Zealand’s small size, a more coherent system of risk assessment and decision-making should be possible.

Close up of a liquid being pipitted into a test tube
Will science and technology drive New Zealand’s future thinking?
Sir Peter's speech to the Life Sciences Summit.

A woman cycling along red bike lane with signs of bicycles on street
Media reporting on transport conversation misses the big picture
Koi Tū undertakes many different types of deliberative and participatory engagements with the public on complex issues using new digital tools and public deliberation approaches such as minipublics and citizens’ assemblies.

View of Flax plants by the coast, with the sun rising and backlighting the plants
Science, society and our future
Address to Annual Meeting of NZIER, 21 September 2022

Reimagining Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland: harnessing the region’s potential
This independent report is intended to stimulate open-minded conversation and debate. Koi Tū was asked to think ahead about Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland’s long-term future to suggest the kinds of evolution the region needs.

Reimagining Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland: harnessing the region’s potential
What could Auckland become within two generations? How do we become a truly global, liveable and sustainable city that is fit for the future?


Our themes